Publications

Articles in peer-reviewed journals

Leininger, Arndt and Maurits Meijers (2020) “Do Populist Parties Increase Turnout? Evidence from over 40 Years of Electoral History in 31 European Democracies”, Political Studies, article (ungated)

Landwehr, Claudia and Arndt Leininger (2019): “Instrumental or procedural democrats? The evolution of procedural preferences after democratization”, In: Political Research Exchange, 1(1). article (ungated)

Leininger, Arndt (2019): “Is there an economic vote in referendums? The case of the 2016 Italian constitutional referendum”, In: Politics & Governance, 7(2), pp. 306-333. article (ungated)

Leininger, Arndt, Lukas Rudolph and Steffen Zittlau (2018) “How to increase turnout in low salience elections. Quasi-experimental evidence on the effect of simultaneous second-order elections on political participation”, Political Science Research and Methods, 6(3), pp. 509-526. article (gated, online first in 2016) / pre-print / replication/data

Leininger, Arndt and Mark A. Kayser (2017) “Eine länderbasierte Prognose zur Bundestagswahl 2017”, Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 58(3), pp. 407-417. article (gated) / pre-print / replication/data

Leininger, Arndt and Lea Heyne (2017) “How representative are referendums? Evidence from 20 years of Swiss referendums”, Electoral Studies, 48, pp. 84-97. article (gated) / pre-print

Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2016) “A Predictive Test of Voters’ Economic Benchmarking: The 2013 German Bundestag Election”, German Politics, 25(1), pp. 106-130. article (gated) / pre-print

Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2015) “Vintage Errors: Do Real-Time Economic Data Improve Election Forecasts?”, Research and Politics, 2(3). article (ungated) / replication/data)

Articles in other professional journals

Stefan Haußner and Arndt Leininger (2018) “Die Erfolge der AfD und die Wahlbeteiligung: Gibt es einen Zusammenhang?” in Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 49(1), pp. 69-90. article (gated) / pre-print

Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2017) “A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election”, PS: Political Science and Politics, 50(3), pp. 689-692. article (gated) / pre-print / replication/data

Leininger, Arndt (2015) “Wissenschaftliche Wahlprognosen - Alternative oder Ergänzung zu Umfragen?” in: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 46(4), pp. 675-691. article (gated) / pre-print

Leininger, Arndt (2015) “Direct Democracy in Europe: Potentials and Pitfalls”, Global Policy, 6(S1), pp. 17-27. article (gated) / pre-print

Chapters in edited volumes

Leininger, Arndt and Thorsten Faas (2020) “Votes at 16 in Germany: Examining sub-national variation”, In: Jan Eichhorn and Johannes Bergh (Ed.) “Lowering the Voting Age to 16 - Learning from Real Experiences Worldwide”, Palgrave. chapter (gated)

Faas, Thorsten and Arndt Leininger (2020) “Issue Voting und Economic Voting”, In: Thorsten Faas, Oscar W. Gabriel and Jürgen Maier (Ed.) “Handbuch der politikwissenschaftlichen Einstellungs- und Verhaltensforschung”, Nomos. chapter (gated)

Leininger, Arndt (2018): “Forecasting”, In: Claudius Wagemann, Achim Goerres and Markus Siewert (Ed.) Handbuch Methoden der Politikwissenschaft, Wiesbaden: VS Springer. article (gated, online first) / pre-print

Book reviews

Leininger, Arndt (2020) “Book review: Voters & Voting in Context: Multiple Contexts and the Heterogeneous German Electorate” in: Party Politics, online first, article (gated)